После очередного баббл-боя задумался, ну вот реально стало интересно, такая ситуация нас осталось 6, билетов 5. Какова вероятность того, что из 5 оллинов, все 5 шесть выиграет короткий стек и в последнем проиграю я?
1.Poker Stars $300+$20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds + t50 - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter810ofclubs (MP): t4415 M = 3.68
Hero (CO): t5705 M = 4.75
Grezi (BTN): t7486 M = 6.24
mement_mori (SB): t810 M = 0.68jmc2536 (BB): t3374 M = 2.81vladimir3550 (UTG): t6710 M = 5.59
Pre Flop: (t1200) Hero is CO with 6
8
4 folds, mement_mori calls t300,
jmc2536 raises to t1200, mement_mori calls t160 all in
Flop: (t1820) K
A
3
(2 players - 1 is all in)Turn: (t1820) 4
(2 players - 1 is all in)River: (t1820) Q
(2 players - 1 is all in)Final Pot: t1820
mement_mori shows 7
3
(a pair of Threes)
jmc2536 shows T
9
(high card Ace)
mement_mori wins t1820
2.Poker Stars $300+$20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds + t50 - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter810ofclubs (BTN): t3315 M = 2.76
Hero (SB): t6105 M = 5.09
Grezi (BB): t8486 M = 7.07mement_mori (UTG): t1670 M = 1.39
jmc2536 (MP): t2114 M = 1.76vladimir3550 (CO): t6810 M = 5.67
Pre Flop: (t1200) Hero is SB with 2
4
1 fold,
jmc2536 raises to t2064 all in,
3 folds, Grezi calls t1464
Flop: (t4728) T
K
4
(2 players - 1 is all in)Turn: (t4728) T
(2 players - 1 is all in)River: (t4728) Q
(2 players - 1 is all in)Final Pot: t4728
Grezi shows J
K
(two pair, Kings and Tens)
jmc2536 shows A
J
(a straight, Ten to Ace)
jmc2536 wins t4728
3.Poker Stars $300+$20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds + t50 - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter810ofclubs (CO): t3265 M = 2.72
Hero (BTN): t5755 M = 4.80Grezi (SB): t6372 M = 5.31mement_mori (BB): t1620 M = 1.35jmc2536 (UTG): t4728 M = 3.94
vladimir3550 (MP): t6760 M = 5.63
Pre Flop: (t1200) Hero is BTN with J
J
3 folds,
Hero raises to t1570, Grezi calls t1270, mement_mori calls t970 all in
Flop: (t5010) T
6
4
(3 players - 1 is all in)Grezi checks, Hero checks
Turn: (t5010) 9
(3 players - 1 is all in)Grezi checks, Hero checks
River: (t5010) 5
(3 players - 1 is all in)Grezi checks, Hero checks
Final Pot: t5010
Hero mucks J
J
Grezi shows K
T
(a pair of Tens)
mement_mori shows Q
Q
(a pair of Queens)
mement_mori wins t5010
4.Poker Stars $300+$20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t400/t800 Blinds + t75 - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter810ofclubs (SB): t2190 M = 1.33Hero (BB): t5560 M = 3.37Grezi (UTG): t6177 M = 3.74
mement_mori (MP): t6035 M = 3.66
jmc2536 (CO): t3253 M = 1.97
vladimir3550 (BTN): t5285 M = 3.20
Pre Flop: (t1650) Hero is BB with 2
7
4 folds,
810ofclubs raises to t2115 all in, Hero calls t1315
Flop: (t4680) 4
4
9
(2 players - 1 is all in)Turn: (t4680) Q
(2 players - 1 is all in)River: (t4680) J
(2 players - 1 is all in)Final Pot: t4680
810ofclubs shows Q
5
(two pair, Queens and Fours)
Hero shows 2
7
(a pair of Fours)
810ofclubs wins t4680
5.Poker Stars $300+$20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t400/t800 Blinds + t75 - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter810ofclubs (MP): t4530 M = 2.75
Hero (CO): t4470 M = 2.71Grezi (BTN): t4752 M = 2.88
mement_mori (SB): t5010 M = 3.04
jmc2536 (BB): t3028 M = 1.84vladimir3550 (UTG): t6710 M = 4.07
Pre Flop: (t1650) Hero is CO with 9
J
2 folds,
Hero raises to t4395 all in,
2 folds, jmc2536 calls t2153 all in
Flop: (t6756) 6
A
7
(2 players - 2 are all in)Turn: (t6756) K
(2 players - 2 are all in)River: (t6756) Q
(2 players - 2 are all in)Final Pot: t6756
Hero shows 9
J
(high card Ace)
jmc2536 shows 3
A
(a pair of Aces)
jmc2536 wins t6756
6.Poker Stars $300+$20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t600/t1192 Blinds + t100 - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter810ofclubs (SB): t3505 M = 1.47Hero (BB): t1292 M = 0.54Grezi (UTG): t4527 M = 1.89
mement_mori (MP): t4385 M = 1.83
jmc2536 (CO): t6206 M = 2.59vladimir3550 (BTN): t8585 M = 3.59
Pre Flop: (t2392) Hero is BB with 9
K
2 folds, jmc2536 calls t1192,
1 fold, 810ofclubs calls t592
Flop: (t4176) 9
Q
2
(3 players)810ofclubs checks, jmc2536 checks
Turn: (t4176) A
(3 players)810ofclubs checks, jmc2536 checks
River: (t4176) 8
(3 players)810ofclubs checks, jmc2536 checks
Final Pot: t4176
810ofclubs shows Q
5
(a pair of Queens)
Hero mucks 9
K
jmc2536 mucks K
5
810ofclubs wins t16
810ofclubs wins t4176
(Rake: t-16)
После таких бабблов какое-то время ощущение нереальности происходящего.
В очередной раз убедился, что топ-реги дорогие оллины не проигрывают